We perform direct numerical simulations of natural convection in a differentially heated cavity over Rayleigh number – at Prandtl number , systematically varying the aspect ratio over . Across this nearly three-decade range, the Nusselt number exhibits four distinct power-law regimes as a function of , arising solely from geometric confinement. We show that these transport regimes are governed by qualitative changes in the anisotropy and structure of the large-scale circulation (LSC), quantified by the ratio of Reynolds numbers based on the root-mean-square horizontal and vertical velocities, . For small , vertical confinement promotes a horizontally dominant LSC and strong enhancement of heat transport. At intermediate aspect ratios, the circulation reorganizes into an efficient heat-carrying structure for which becomes nearly independent of . At larger , the LSC becomes increasingly vertically elongated and transitions to shear-driven dynamics associated with Kelvin–Helmholtz-type instability, leading to a progressive reduction in heat transport before approaching an asymptotic large- limit. A central result is that the heat flux is maximized when the circulation anisotropy satisfies , which remains robust across all Rayleigh numbers considered. The corresponding optimal aspect ratio follows the scaling . Resolvent analysis further reveals that optimal transport is associated with stationary, slender response modes, whereas larger results in oscillatory shear-layer amplification. These findings establish geometric confinement as the key control parameter governing transport pathways in differentially heated cavities and provide a predictive framework for geometry-driven heat-transfer optimization.

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