Causality – that a response cannot precede its cause – is among the most universal constraints in physics. Yet when a unitary microscopic theory is reduced to an open-system memory-kernel equation, causality is not inherited for free: an upper-half-plane pole of the kernel forces exponential growth of the reduced propagator and is incompatible with any completely positive trace-preserving (CPTP) reduced dynamics. We examine three objects with different causal structure under projection – the Nakajima-Zwanzig (NZ) memory kernel , the reduced-state Laplace transform , and the force-fit effective kernel – using the Kramers-Kronig (KK) relations as diagnostic. Under a real-axis spectral hypothesis on the projected generator, lies in a vector-valued Hardy space and obeys (subtracted) KK relations, giving a CPTP-consistency criterion, a passivity-analyticity statement, and a Carleman diagnostic. We prove analytic in the upper half-plane for any initial state – unitarity bounds , so acausality cannot be blamed on the state alone. Yet the force-fit kernel can develop upper-half-plane poles at simple zeros of : passive baths sit in a robust regime where these zeros stay real, while near-resonant systems enter a fragile regime in which coherence-channel zeros migrate into the upper half-plane, an intrinsic symmetry property already present for factorized states. We verify the full operator-valued KK relation on the extracted NZ memory kernel of the Jaynes-Cummings model, the relative residual decreasing under refinement (), consistent with exact matrix-valued KK in the continuum limit.

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