Pretty Good Bounds on the worst-case Pretty Good Measurement

We derive a new lower bound on the success probability of the Pretty Good Measurement (PGM) for worst-case quantum state discrimination among $m$ pure states. Our bound is strictly tighter than the previously known Gram-matrix-based bound for $m\ge 4$. The proof adapts techniques from Barnum and Knill’s analysis of the average-case PGM, applied here to the worst-case scenario. By comparing the PGM to the sequential measurement algorithm, we obtain a guarantee showing that, in the low-fidelity regime, the PGM’s success probability decreases quadratically with respect to the maximum pairwise overlap, rather than linearly as in earlier bounds.