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We analyze the convergence rates for a family of auto-regressive Markov chains on , where at each step a randomly chosen coordinate is replaced by a noisy damped weighted average of the others. The interest in the model comes from the connection with a certain Bayesian scheme introduced by de Finetti in the analysis of partially exchangeable data. Our main result shows that, when gets large (corresponding to a vanishing noise), a cutoff phenomenon occurs.

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