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Epidemic models are a valuable tool in the decision making process. Once a mathematical model for an epidemics has been established, the very next step is calculating a mathematical expression for the basic reproductive number, , which is the average number of infections caused by an individual that is introduced in a population of susceptibles. Finding a mathematical expression for is important because it allows to analyze the effect of the different parameters in the model on so that we can act on them to keep , so that the epidemic fades out. In this work we show how to calculate in complicated epidemic models by using only basic concepts of Markov chains.

生成讲解博客的中文版本

生成AI智能校验的中文版本