We prove a sharp bound for the minimal doubling of a small measurable subset of a compact connected Lie group. Namely, let be a compact connected Lie group of dimension , we show that for for all measurable subsets , we have where is the maximal dimension of a proper closed subgroup and is a dimensional constant. This settles a conjecture of Breuillard and Green, and recovers and improves - with completely different methods - a recent result of Jing–Tran–Zhang corresponding to the case . As is often the case, the above doubling inequality stems from a special case of general product-set estimates. We prove that for all and for any pair of sufficiently small measurable subsets a Brunn–Minkowski-type inequality holds: Going beyond the scope of the Breuillard–Green conjecture, we prove a stability result asserting that the only subsets with close to minimal doubling are essentially neighbourhoods of proper subgroups i.e. of the form where denotes a proper closed subgroup of maximal dimension, denotes a bi-invariant distance on and . Our approach relies on a combination of two toolsets: optimal transports and its recent applications to the Brunn–Minkowski inequality, and the structure theory of compact approximate subgroups.

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