Consider the partial sums {S_t} of a real-valued functional F(Phi(t)) of a
Markov chain {Phi(t)} with values in a general state space. Assuming only that
the Markov chain is geometrically ergodic and that the functional F is bounded,
the following conclusions are obtained:
- Spectral theory: Well-behaved solutions can be constructed for the
``multiplicative Poisson equation’'.
- A ``multiplicative’’ mean ergodic theorem: For all complex \alpha in a
neighborhood of the origin, the normalized mean of \exp(\alpha S_t) converges
exponentially fast to a solution of the multiplicative Poisson equation.
- Edgeworth Expansions: Rates are obtained for the convergence of the
distribution function of the normalized partial sums S_t to the standard
Gaussian distribution.
- Large Deviations: The partial sums are shown to satisfy a large deviations
principle in a neighborhood of the mean. This result, proved under geometric
ergodicity alone, cannot in general be extended to the whole real line.
- Exact Large Deviations Asymptotics: Rates of convergence are obtained for
the large deviations estimates above.
Extensions of these results to continuous-time Markov processes are also
given.