Let be a totally real number field and a prime. We show that the
complexity'' of Greenberg's conjecture ($\lambda = \mu = 0$) is of $p$-adic nature governed (under Leopoldt's conjecture) by the finite torsion group ${\mathcal T}_k$ of the Galois group of the maximal abelian $p$-ramified pro-$p$-extension of $k$, by means of images in ${\mathcal T}_k$ of ideal norms from the layers $k_n$ of the cyclotomic tower (Theorem (5.2)). These images are obtained via the formal algorithm computing, by unscrewing’‘, the -class
group of~. Conjecture (5.4) of equidistribution of these images would show
that the number of steps of the algorithms is bounded as ,
so that Greenberg’s conjecture, hopeless within the sole framework of Iwasawa’s
theory, would hold true ``with probability ’'. No assumption is made on $[k
: ]pk/$.

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