In this paper, we provide upper and lower bounds on the crossing numbers of dense graphs on surfaces, which match up to constant factors. First, we prove that if is a dense enough graph with edges and is a surface of genus , then any drawing of on incurs at least crossings. The poly-logarithmic factor in this lower bound is new even in the case of complete graphs and disproves a conjecture of Shahrokhi, Székely and Vrt’o from 1996. Then we prove a geometric converse to this lower bound: we provide an explicit family of hyperbolic surfaces such that for any graph , sampling the vertices uniformly at random on this surface and connecting them with shortest paths yields crossings in expectation.

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