The heavy quark effective theory makes model independent predictions for semileptonic decays in terms of a small set of parameters. No subleading Isgur-Wise function occurs at order $\Lambda_{\rm QCD}/m_{c,b}\Lambda_{\rm QCD}^2/m_c^2$. These features allow us to fit the form factors and decay rates calculated up to order to LHCb data and lattice QCD calculations. We derive a significantly more precise standard model prediction for the ratio ${\cal B}(\Lambda_b\to \Lambda_c \tau\bar\nu) / {\cal B}(\Lambda_b\to \Lambda_c \mu\bar\nu)$ than prior results, and find the expansion in well-behaved, addressing a long-standing question. Our results allow more precise and reliable calculations of rates, and are systematically improvable with better data on the (or ) modes.

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