Classical Explanations in (and of) General Probabilistic Theories

We introduce a notion of the ``explanation" of one (generalized) probabilistic model by another as particular kind of span in the category $\text{Prob}$ of probabilistic models and morphisms. We show that explanations compose under a standard pullback construction (notwithstanding that $\text{Prob}$ does not support arbitrary pullbacks). We then show that every locally-finite probabilistic model has a canonical, sharp classical explanation. The construction is functorial, so every locally-finite probabilistic theory has a canonical, sharp classical (though of course, usually non-local) representation.