The Ubiquity of Smooth Hilbert Schemes

We investigate the geography of Hilbert schemes parametrizing closed subschemes of projective space with specified Hilbert polynomials. We classify Hilbert schemes with unique Borel-fixed points via combinatorial expressions for their Hilbert polynomials. These expressions naturally lead to an arrangement of nonempty Hilbert schemes as the vertices of an infinite full binary tree. Here we discover regularities in the geometry of Hilbert schemes. Specifically, under natural probability distributions on the tree, we prove that Hilbert schemes are irreducible and nonsingular with probability greater than $0.5$.