Elpasolite is the predominant quaternary crystal structure (AlNaKF prototype) reported in the Inorganic Crystal Structure Database. We have developed a machine learning model to calculate density functional theory quality formation energies of all 2 M pristine ABCD elpasolite crystals which can be made up from main-group elements (up to bismuth). Our model’s accuracy can be improved systematically, reaching 0.1 eV/atom for a training set consisting of 10 k crystals. Important bonding trends are revealed, fluoride is best suited to fit the coordination of the D site which lowers the formation energy whereas the opposite is found for carbon. The bonding contribution of elements A and B is very small on average. Low formation energies result from A and B being late elements from group (II), C being a late (I) element, and D being fluoride. Out of 2 M crystals, 90 unique structures are predicted to be on the convex hull—among which NFAlCa, with peculiar stoichiometry and a negative atomic oxidation state for Al.

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