The set of short intervals between consecutive primes squared has the pleasant—but seemingly unexploited—property that each interval is fully sieved by the first primes. Here we take advantage of this essential characteristic and present evidence for the conjecture that , where is the number of primes in ; or even stricter, that is both necessary and sufficient for the prime number theorem to be valid in intervals of length . In addition, we propose and substantiate that the prime counting function is best understood as a sum of correlated random variables . Under this assumption, we derive the theoretical variance of , from which we are led to conjecture that . Emerging from our investigations is the view that the intervals between consecutive primes squared hold the key to a furthered understanding of the distribution of primes; as evidenced, this perspective also builds strong support in favour of the Riemann hypothesis.

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