We use the Millennium Simulation series to investigate the mass and redshift
dependence of the concentration of equilibrium cold dark matter (CDM) halos. We
extend earlier work on the relation between halo mass profiles and assembly
histories to show how the latter may be used to predict concentrations for
halos of all masses and at any redshift. Our results clarify the link between
concentration and the collapse redshift'' of a halo as well as why concentration depends on mass and redshift solely through the dimensionless peak height’’ mass parameter, . We
combine these results with analytic mass accretion histories to extrapolate the
relations to mass regimes difficult to reach through direct
simulation. Our model predicts that, at given , should deviate
systematically from a simple power law at high masses, where concentrations
approach a constant value, and at low masses, where concentrations are
substantially lower than expected from extrapolating published empirical fits.
This correction may reduce the expected self-annihilation boost factor from
substructure by about one order of magnitude. The model also reproduces the
dependence on cosmological parameters reported in earlier work, and
thus provides a simple and robust account of the relation between cosmology and
the mass-concentration-redshift relation of CDM halos.

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