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Theoretical frameworks to estimate the tolerance of metabolic networks to various failures are important to evaluate the robustness of biological complex systems in systems biology. In this paper, we focus on a measure for robustness in metabolic networks, namely, the impact degree, and propose an approximation method to predict the probability distribution of impact degrees from metabolic network structures using the theory of branching process. We demonstrate the relevance of this method by testing it on real-world metabolic networks. Although the approximation method possesses a few limitations, it may be a powerful tool for evaluating metabolic robustness.

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