In 1995 Magnus posed a conjecture about the asymptotics of the recurrence coefficients of orthogonal polynomials with respect to the weights on [-1,1] of the form with and . We show rigorously that Magnus’ conjecture is correct even in a more general situation, when the weight above has an extra factor, which is analytic in a neighborhood of [-1,1] and positive on the interval. The proof is based on the steepest descendent method of Deift and Zhou applied to the non-commutative Riemann-Hilbert problem characterizing the orthogonal polynomials. A feature of this situation is that the local analysis at has to be carried out in terms of confluent hypergeometric functions.

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