We present an analysis of a scalar field model of dark energy with an
exponential potential using the Dark Energy Task Force (DETF) simulated data
models. Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling techniques we examine the
ability of each simulated data set to constrain the parameter space of the
exponential potential for data sets based on a cosmological constant and a
specific exponential scalar field model. We compare our results with the
constraining power calculated by the DETF using their $w_0-w_a$'' parametrization of the dark energy. We find that respective increases in constraining power from one stage to the next produced by our analysis give results consistent with DETF results. To further investigate the potential impact of future experiments, we also generate simulated data for an exponential model background cosmology which can not be distinguished from a cosmological constant at DETF Stage 2’', and show that for this cosmology
good DETF Stage 4 data would exclude a cosmological constant by better than
3.

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