The conversion of cold dense gas, traced by molecular line emission, into stars remains one of the fundamental unsolved problems in galaxy evolution. Observations over the past decades have established empirical relations between gas and star formation, yet their physical origin remains uncertain. Gravity, turbulence, and stellar feedback as main drivers provide fundamentally different pictures of how star formation is regulated, while reproducing remarkably similar galaxy-scale scaling relations. To disentangle the individual importance of each process, not only its mass and distribution, but also its temperature, density, excitation, and chemistry must be probed. However, current or planned (sub)millimetre facilities cannot combine statistical breadth, cloud-scale resolution, and multi-line diagnostics across large galaxy samples. A new, flagship interferometer with increased line sensitivity and bandwidth enables obtaining multi-transition, multi-isotopologue observations of molecular gas at GMC-resolved scales across nearby galaxies, enabling millions of independent measurements of its physical state across a wide range of extragalactic environments. This will transform molecular gas from an empirical tracer into a quantitative probe of the physical processes governing the relation between the dense gas and star formation. With the 2040s landscape of optical and radio facilities, ALMA2040 will facilitate a predictive theory of the conversion of gas into stars.

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