Generalized Einstein Laurent polynomials, Toric Kähler-Einstein Rigidity, and Finite Exponential Families

We study when the logarithm $\psi$ of a positive finite exponential sum on ${\mathbb{R}}^d$ satisfies $\det {\mathrm{\nabla }}^2\psi =C\exp (⟨b,\theta ⟩-\lambda \psi )$. This is the Kähler–Einstein equation for metrics induced by exponential maps into projective space and, for natural exponential families, the condition that the Jeffreys prior be a Diaconis–Ylvisaker conjugate prior. First, we classify the bivariate Laurent polynomials with unimodular support satisfying the generalized Einstein condition of Di Scala and Sombra: up to units and monomial changes of coordinates, they are powers of an affine trinomial or products of powers of two independent binomials. Second, we show in every dimension that a smooth compact toric manifold with a projectively induced Kähler–Einstein metric is a product of projective spaces with matched multiples of the Fubini–Study metrics, immersed by a complete Veronese–Segre system up to automorphisms. This proves the compact toric case of the homogeneity conjecture for such metrics and the fixed-point germ and univalent forms of a conjecture of Manno and Salis. Third, without lattice or rationality assumptions, the finite-support exponential families satisfying the equation are, up to affine changes of statistic, exactly the products of multinomial families with a common ratio of categories to trials; this settles the finite-support case of a question of Casalis.