We study correlated rounding on the hypersimplex, the base polytope of the uniform matroid. For each point in the hypersimplex, the goal is to sample a -subset with marginals , while coupling the samples for all choices of so that nearby inputs produce nearby sets. We give conditional constant-stretch results for the natural maximum-entropy sequential scheme, based on a conjectured spectral property of the covariance matrix of the maximum-entropy distribution over -subsets; this conjecture has been extensively tested numerically. Under this property, the scheme samples the maximum-entropy -subset distribution with prescribed marginals using a common random ordering and common uniform thresholds. For every with , it satisfies Thus, conditional on the spectral hypothesis, the previous bound for hypersimplex correlated rounding would improve to a constant and the open question raised by Naor, Raju, Shetty, Srinivasan, Valieva, and Wajc would have a positive answer. By adding dummy coordinates, the same conditional result gives stretch at most for the at-most- polytope.

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