We consider one-parameter families of random circle diffeomorphisms for which the unperturbed map has a fixed point of order and the dependence on the parameter is monotone. Under reasonable assumptions, we show that the rotation number exhibits Lifshitz tail decay with exponent , The exponent is determined by the passage time through a parabolic bottleneck. A full rotation requires on the order of successive small perturbations, and the probability of such a streak decays exponentially as a function of its length. When , the exponent is , and we recover as a corollary a purely dynamical proof of Lifshitz tail asymptotics at the spectral edges of the one-dimensional Anderson model.

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