The study of the Ornstein–Zernike decay of subcritical two-point functions in equilibrium statistical mechanics has a history going back over a century. Despite this, the crossover from Ornstein–Zernike decay to critical power-law decay has received scant attention in the literature. We prove a general theorem which, under appropriate hypotheses, identifies the asymptotic behaviour of the solution to an Ornstein–Zernike equation on as that of the Green function for Brownian motion with drift, multiplied by an anisotropic exponentially decaying factor. The theorem applies to a wide class of random walks, to nearest-neighbour self-avoiding walk in dimensions , and to nearest-neighbour percolation in dimensions . Wide-ranging consequences follow, including details of the crossover from Ornstein–Zernike to critical decay on the scale of the correlation length, and the fact that all finite-order correlation lengths are equivalent up to universal constants. The proof is based on a variational characterisation of the direction-dependent rate of exponential decay and a major extension of Hara’s 2008 Gaussian Lemma to noncentred kernels.

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